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Real-time alerts on unusually confident prediction market bets
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Live since 23 Apr 26
| Market | Side | Bet price | Confidence | Outcome | Return on bet | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting? Economics24 Jun 26 | yes | $0.76 | Low | Pending | — | 8h ago |
Economics24 Jun 26 | yes | $0.76 | Medium | Pending | — | 14h ago |
Economics21 Jun 26 | yes | $0.78 | Medium | Pending | — | 2d ago |
Economics18 Jun 26 | yes | $0.80 | Medium | Pending | — | 6d ago |
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026? Politics11 Jun 26 | no | $0.80 | Low | Target hit | +17% | 12d ago |
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026? Politics11 Jun 26 | no | $0.79 | Low | Target hit | +19% | 12d ago |
Politics11 Jun 26 | no | $0.78 | Low | Target hit | +21% | 12d ago |
Commodities05 Jun 26 | no | $0.47 | High | Target hit | +100% | 18d ago |
Commodities04 Jun 26 | no | $0.54 | Medium | Target hit | +74% | 20d ago |
Commodities26 May 26 | no | $0.67 | Medium | Target hit | +40% | 28d ago |