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Prediction Ping

Real-time alerts on unusually confident prediction market bets

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Alerts filed: 11
Resolved: 7
Pending: 4
Hit rate: 86%

Recent filings

Live since 23 Apr 26

Last 7 days Last 30 days All time

Market	Side	Bet price	Confidence	Outcome	Return on bet	Filed
Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the August 19, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #48 settle at or above the official August 19, 2026 ICE settlement price for the August 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future? Financials18 Aug 26	no	$0.80	Medium	Pending	—	6d ago
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? Economics07 Aug 26	no	$0.49	High+2 whales agree	Pending	—	17d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? Economics07 Aug 26	no	$0.53	Medium+7 whales agree1 whale against	Pending	—	17d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? Economics06 Aug 26	no	$0.50	High+4 whales agree23 whales against	Pending	—	18d ago
Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in September 2026? Economics17 Aug 26	yes	$0.80	High	Target hit	+17%	7d ago
Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Aug 17, 2026 be above 1273.70? Economics17 Aug 26	yes	$0.31	High	Missed	−100%	7d ago
Will Aug 2026 be the hottest Aug ever? Climate and Weather15 Aug 26	yes	$0.79	Medium	Target hit	+19%	9d ago
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026? Politics04 Aug 26	no	$0.74	High+1 whale agree	Target hit	+27%	20d ago
Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 75000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? Entertainment01 Aug 26	yes	$0.70	High	Target hit	+34%	23d ago
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in July 2026? Economics30 Jul 26	yes	$0.55	Medium	Called correctly	+80%	25d ago
Will average gas prices be above $4.10? Economics29 Jul 26	yes	$0.55	Medium	Target hit	+71%	26d ago