Loading the live feed…
Real-time alerts on unusually confident prediction market bets
Loading the live feed…
Running live since 23 Apr 26 · seeded at $10,000
The beta-test opens a position on every alert at the price it printed, sizes it at five per cent of the running bankroll, and closes at ninety-five cents or market resolution. No positions are executed; nothing here is real money. Figures below reflect live operation since 23 Apr 26 — nothing before the launch date is included.
Current hypothetical bankroll
| Market | Side | In at | Target | Stake | Confidence | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Financials18 Aug 26 | no | $0.80 | $0.95 | $521.88 | Medium | 6d ago |
Economics07 Aug 26 | no | $0.49 | $0.95 | $531.59 | High+2 whales agree | 17d ago |
Economics07 Aug 26 | no | $0.53 | $0.95 |
| Market | Side | In | Out | Confidence | Outcome | P/L | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Climate and Weather15 Aug 26 | yes | $0.79 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$106.85 +19.0% | 24 Aug 26 |
Economics17 Aug 26 | yes | $0.80 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$88.88 +17.5% | 23 Aug 26 |
Politics04 Aug 26 | no |
| $559.57 |
| Medium+7 whales agree1 whale against |
| 17d ago |
Economics06 Aug 26 | no | $0.50 | $0.95 | $589.02 | High+4 whales agree23 whales against | 18d ago |
| $0.74 |
| $0.95 |
| High+1 whale agree |
| Target hit |
+$167.57 +27.0% |
| 18 Aug 26 |
Economics17 Aug 26 | yes | $0.31 | $0.00 | High | Lost | −$534.62 −100.0% | 18 Aug 26 |
Economics30 Jul 26 | yes | $0.55 | $1.00 | Medium | Won | +$513.32 +80.0% | 12 Aug 26 |
Entertainment01 Aug 26 | yes | $0.70 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$209.00 +34.3% | 01 Aug 26 |
Economics29 Jul 26 | yes | $0.55 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$439.41 +70.9% | 30 Jul 26 |
Economics18 Jun 26 | yes | $0.80 | $0.95 | High+12 whales agree | Target hit | +$101.66 +17.5% | 15 Jul 26 |
Economics01 Jul 26 | no | $0.80 | $0.95 | Medium+6 whales agree | Target hit | +$83.14 +17.5% | 14 Jul 26 |
Economics08 Jul 26 | no | $0.78 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$113.23 +20.5% | 14 Jul 26 |
Economics03 Jul 26 | yes | $0.75 | $0.00 | High | Lost | −$544.86 −100.0% | 14 Jul 26 |
Politics01 Jul 26 | no | $0.72 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$160.85 +30.6% | 07 Jul 26 |
Companies01 Jul 26 | yes | $0.60 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$219.28 +56.7% | 02 Jul 26 |
Companies01 Jul 26 | yes | $0.69 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$126.53 +36.2% | 02 Jul 26 |
Companies01 Jul 26 | yes | $0.74 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$99.36 +27.0% | 02 Jul 26 |
Entertainment24 Jun 26 | no | $0.70 | $0.95 | High+4 whales agree | Target hit | +$179.06 +34.3% | 24 Jun 26 |
Commodities05 Jun 26 | no | $0.47 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$544.20 +100.0% | 22 Jun 26 |
Commodities04 Jun 26 | no | $0.54 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$424.33 +74.1% | 16 Jun 26 |
Politics11 Jun 26 | no | $0.78 | $0.95 | Medium+2 whales agree | Target hit | +$106.05 +20.5% | 12 Jun 26 |
Economics24 May 26 | yes | $0.80 | $0.00 | Medium | Lost | −$591.08 −100.0% | 31 May 26 |
Commodities26 May 26 | no | $0.67 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$226.29 +40.3% | 28 May 26 |
Financials23 Apr 26 | no | $0.30 | $0.95 | High+2 whales agree | Target hit | +$1,066.67 +213.3% | 18 May 26 |
Economics11 May 26 | no | $0.80 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$78.97 +17.5% | 11 May 26 |