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Real-time alerts on unusually confident prediction market bets
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Running live since 23 Apr 26 · seeded at $10,000
The beta-test opens a position on every alert at the price it printed, sizes it at five per cent of the running bankroll, and closes at ninety-five cents or market resolution. No positions are executed; nothing here is real money. Figures below reflect live operation since 23 Apr 26 — nothing before the launch date is included.
Current hypothetical bankroll
| Market | Side | In at | Target | Stake | Confidence | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Economics20 Oct 26 | yes | $0.72 | $0.95 | $419.38 | Medium | 4d ago |
Economics20 Oct 26 | yes | $0.74 | $0.95 | $441.45 | Medium | 4d ago |
Economics15 Oct 26 | yes | $0.51 | $0.95 | $425.60 | Medium | 9d ago |
| Market | Side | In | Out | Confidence | Outcome | P/L | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Economics29 Sep 26 | no | $0.49 | $0.95 | High+10 whales agree4 whales against | Target hit | +$519.63 +91.8% | 22 Oct 26 |
Economics20 Oct 26 | no | $0.75 | $0.00 | Medium | Lost | −$489.15 −100.0% | 21 Oct 26 |
Economics |
| yes |
| $0.67 |
| $0.95 |
| $448.00 |
| High |
| 10d ago |
Economics14 Oct 26 | yes | $0.41 | $0.95 | $471.58 | High+1 whale agree | 10d ago |
Economics14 Oct 26 | yes | $0.73 | $0.95 | $496.40 | Medium | 11d ago |
Economics14 Oct 26 | no | $0.77 | $0.95 | $424.82 | Medium3 whales against | 11d ago |
Economics14 Oct 26 | no | $0.76 | $0.95 | $447.18 | Medium | 11d ago |
Economics16 Sep 26 | yes | $0.60 | $0.95 | $626.94 | High+8 whales agree10 whales against | 38d ago |
Financials18 Aug 26 | no | $0.80 | $0.95 | $521.88 | Medium | 67d ago |
| yes |
| $0.75 |
| $0.00 |
| Medium |
| Lost |
−$464.69 −100.0% |
| 21 Oct 26 |
Mentions20 Oct 26 | no | $0.75 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$100.93 +25.3% | 21 Oct 26 |
Economics29 Sep 26 | no | $0.33 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$1,100.95 +184.8% | 17 Oct 26 |
Economics30 Sep 26 | yes | $0.56 | $1.00 | High+4 whales agree6 whales against | Won | +$412.74 +76.8% | 14 Oct 26 |
Economics07 Oct 26 | no | $0.58 | $0.00 | High+2 whales agree | Lost | −$437.82 −100.0% | 14 Oct 26 |
Economics01 Oct 26 | yes | $0.53 | $1.00 | High+2 whales agree | Won | +$421.04 +86.8% | 14 Oct 26 |
Economics05 Oct 26 | yes | $0.73 | $1.00 | High+1 whale agree | Won | +$164.14 +35.6% | 14 Oct 26 |
Economics01 Oct 26 | yes | $0.79 | $0.00 | Medium | Lost | −$510.65 −100.0% | 02 Oct 26 |
Economics07 Aug 26 | no | $0.53 | $0.00 | Medium+8 whales agree4 whales against | Lost | −$559.57 −100.0% | 16 Sep 26 |
Economics07 Aug 26 | no | $0.49 | $0.00 | High+6 whales agree | Lost | −$531.59 −100.0% | 16 Sep 26 |
Mentions10 Sep 26 | no | $0.65 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$249.44 +44.6% | 12 Sep 26 |
Economics06 Aug 26 | no | $0.50 | $0.95 | High+5 whales agree26 whales against | Target hit | +$518.34 +88.0% | 12 Sep 26 |
Climate and Weather15 Aug 26 | yes | $0.79 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$106.85 +19.0% | 24 Aug 26 |
Economics17 Aug 26 | yes | $0.80 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$88.88 +17.5% | 23 Aug 26 |
Politics04 Aug 26 | no | $0.74 | $0.95 | High+1 whale agree | Target hit | +$167.57 +27.0% | 18 Aug 26 |
Economics17 Aug 26 | yes | $0.31 | $0.00 | High | Lost | −$534.62 −100.0% | 18 Aug 26 |
Economics30 Jul 26 | yes | $0.55 | $1.00 | Medium | Won | +$513.32 +80.0% | 12 Aug 26 |
Entertainment01 Aug 26 | yes | $0.70 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$209.00 +34.3% | 01 Aug 26 |
Economics29 Jul 26 | yes | $0.55 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$439.41 +70.9% | 30 Jul 26 |
Economics18 Jun 26 | yes | $0.80 | $0.95 | High+12 whales agree | Target hit | +$101.66 +17.5% | 15 Jul 26 |
Economics01 Jul 26 | no | $0.80 | $0.95 | Medium+6 whales agree | Target hit | +$83.14 +17.5% | 14 Jul 26 |
Economics08 Jul 26 | no | $0.78 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$113.23 +20.5% | 14 Jul 26 |
Economics03 Jul 26 | yes | $0.75 | $0.00 | High | Lost | −$544.86 −100.0% | 14 Jul 26 |
Politics01 Jul 26 | no | $0.72 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$160.85 +30.6% | 07 Jul 26 |
Companies01 Jul 26 | yes | $0.60 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$219.28 +56.7% | 02 Jul 26 |
Companies01 Jul 26 | yes | $0.69 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$126.53 +36.2% | 02 Jul 26 |
Companies01 Jul 26 | yes | $0.74 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$99.36 +27.0% | 02 Jul 26 |
Entertainment24 Jun 26 | no | $0.70 | $0.95 | High+4 whales agree | Target hit | +$179.06 +34.3% | 24 Jun 26 |
Commodities05 Jun 26 | no | $0.47 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$544.20 +100.0% | 22 Jun 26 |
Commodities04 Jun 26 | no | $0.54 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$424.33 +74.1% | 16 Jun 26 |
Politics11 Jun 26 | no | $0.78 | $0.95 | Medium+2 whales agree | Target hit | +$106.05 +20.5% | 12 Jun 26 |
Economics24 May 26 | yes | $0.80 | $0.00 | Medium | Lost | −$591.08 −100.0% | 31 May 26 |
Commodities26 May 26 | no | $0.67 | $0.95 | Medium | Target hit | +$226.29 +40.3% | 28 May 26 |
Financials23 Apr 26 | no | $0.30 | $0.95 | High+2 whales agree | Target hit | +$1,066.67 +213.3% | 18 May 26 |
Economics11 May 26 | no | $0.80 | $0.95 | High | Target hit | +$78.97 +17.5% | 11 May 26 |